The rally in gold prices may be far from over, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of investment firm DoubleLine Capital. In an interview with CNBC, Gundlach stated that the price of gold could reach as high as $4,000 per troy ounce in the foreseeable future. His comments come as the precious metal continues to rise steadily in the face of growing economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Gundlach pointed to the global environment of instability, primarily driven by ongoing trade tensions and tariff policies between major economies, as a key factor in gold’s appeal. “People now view gold not just as a commodity or hedge, but increasingly as a core monetary asset,” he said. “The fear surrounding geopolitical instability, the uncertainty of future tariffs, and the mounting global debt levels are reshaping how investors approach gold.”
Since the beginning of 2025, gold has gained approximately 25%, outpacing most other asset classes. On Monday, the metal was trading around $3,120 per troy ounce, just below the all-time high reached earlier this month. According to data from the Comex exchange, gold futures have seen record trading volumes in recent sessions as both institutional and retail investors boost their allocations to precious metals.
Jeffrey Gundlach’s prediction of a potential $4,000 price target aligns with similar calls from other prominent analysts in the commodities space. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have also revised their long-term price forecasts upward in recent weeks, citing many of the same macroeconomic drivers: elevated inflation expectations, central bank gold purchases, and a weak outlook for fiat currencies.
Gundlach further emphasized that central banks around the world are stockpiling gold at an accelerated pace, particularly in countries like China, Russia, Turkey, and India. Recent data from the World Gold Council confirms that central bank demand hit a new quarterly record in Q1 2025. Many central banks are diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar and euro amid fears of currency volatility and interest rate risk.
He also highlighted growing concerns about the sustainability of public and corporate debt. Global debt levels surpassed $315 trillion in the first quarter of 2025, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF). “With debt continuing to rise, and governments still spending aggressively despite higher rates, investors are understandably nervous,” Gundlach noted. “Gold becomes more attractive when the financial system seems fragile.”
In addition to his bullish outlook on gold, Gundlach reiterated his bearish view on the U.S. stock market. He warned that equity valuations remain stretched and that the S&P 500 index could face a significant correction in the coming months. “I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 drops by about 20% from current levels,” he said, pointing to weak earnings growth, tightening credit conditions, and elevated geopolitical risk.
Market data from Monday showed a mixed performance in equities. The S&P 500 ended the day down 0.4%, while the Nasdaq fell 0.6%. Defensive sectors such as utilities and healthcare outperformed, while technology and consumer discretionary stocks lagged behind.
Bond yields edged higher, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rising to 4.32%. The U.S. dollar strengthened slightly, with the dollar index moving up to 105.1. Meanwhile, gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reported net inflows for the sixth consecutive week, reflecting sustained demand for safe-haven assets.
Investors are now looking ahead to key economic reports due later this week, including U.S. retail sales and industrial production data, as well as updates from the Federal Reserve on inflation expectations. Analysts expect continued volatility in both equity and commodities markets as uncertainty surrounding global trade and monetary policy persists.
For now, the spotlight remains on gold, with analysts and investors alike closely monitoring whether it can maintain its upward momentum — and possibly move toward the $4,000 milestone that Gundlach predicts.
